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	<title>vlogolution network &#187; IPOs</title>
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	<description>vlogolution is a new, hip video and blog network bringing you clever, informative, and unique infotainment such as HotRoast, PassMeThePork, and moMoneyTV.</description>
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		<title>Investment Survival Guide: Staying Out of the Murder Holes</title>
		<link>http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2012-03-22-investment-survival-guide-staying-out-of-the-murder-holes/</link>
		<comments>http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2012-03-22-investment-survival-guide-staying-out-of-the-murder-holes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Mar 2012 22:29:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alexander P Morris]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[moMoney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PassMeThePork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vlogolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$TVIX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$VXX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2x]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[3x]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biotech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[etn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchange Traded Notes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fraud]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPOs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[private placements]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPACs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trading]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/?p=1864</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(Josh Brown / RegisteredRep) &#8220;There are some stock market land mines that will invariably destroy anyone foolish enough to stand on them for an extended period of time. .. Until you&#8217;ve been blown up by a few of these murder holes yourself, it&#8217;s hard to recognize them. Below is a list of the dark alleys [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2012-03-22-investment-survival-guide-staying-out-of-the-murder-holes/" target="_new" title="View Full Post and Related Links!"><img src="http://www.vlogolution.com/vthumbs/thumb-burn.png" title="View Full Post and Related Links!" align="left" width="100" height="60" border=0><img src="http://www.vlogolution.com/images/spacer.gif" align="left" width="10" height="60" border=0></a><p>(Josh Brown / RegisteredRep) &#8220;There are some stock market land mines that will invariably destroy anyone foolish enough to stand on them for an extended period of time. .. Until you&#8217;ve been blown up by a few of these murder holes yourself, it&#8217;s hard to recognize them. Below is a list of the dark alleys you never want to wander down for your own future financial well-being. .. These alleys are strewn with various land mines, any of which could become your very own murder hole at any time. You probably won&#8217;t listen anyway, but don&#8217;t say I didn&#8217;t warn you.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>SPACs</strong> &#8211; &#8220;According to Reuters, the last big wave of 57 SPACs that debuted at the height of the credit bubble in 2007 had raised a combined $11.3 billion. That&#8217;s a whole lot of “dumb money.” The best thing that could&#8217;ve transpired for those 57 companies would have been the return of cash that occurs when the clock runs out and a deal hasn&#8217;t been consummated. In fact, there were a few hedge funds involved with some of those SPACs that were forcing that dissolution to occur using the voting power of their stock positions. .. If it weren&#8217;t so true, it would almost be laughable how horribly and slowly these things die. And by the way, many of these SPACs have been China-related in recent years. For investors, the China-SPAC combination is like being beaten up after school and then coming home to find that your parents have moved away without telling you. .. And just so you know, the investment banks that make these stepchild IPOs are almost always connected to an aggressive brokerage sales force. How else could $100 million be raised for such a hare-brained scheme?&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Chinese Reverse Mergers</strong> &#8211; &#8220;The short sellers who have attacked and unmasked the Chinese RTO fraud machine have done investors a favor in the long run. I&#8217;ve advised people to avoid the entire China stock sector until the companies grow up a bit and start acting like professionals. After all, if the legendary John Paulson can be taken in by these charlatans, what chance do you have?&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>One-Drug Biotechs</strong> &#8211; &#8220;The vast majority of drug trials fail to satisfy the FDA, and approvals are the exception, not the rule. .. If you must own biotechnology, try to go with a larger company that has several drugs on the market or in development. It may not produce a 10-fold return, but it also won&#8217;t vaporize your portfolio on an FDA setback.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Private Placements</strong> &#8211; &#8220;So I&#8217;ll tell you what happens and what will always happen when retail brokers bring their clients private banking deals. By the time a company is desperate enough to go to broker/dealers for funds, it means that it is already at the end of its rope. The retail brokers are offered a 10 percent commission to show the deal to their clients. They are also promised warrants and stock options should the company end up going public. (It won&#8217;t.) This exorbitant compensation for the brokers is a huge red flag. .. The higher the commission or selling concession a broker is paid to sell a product, the worse that product will be for his or her clients. Brokers take note: selling a client a private placement that pays you a tenth of that money back is the same thing as telling your client to go f*%k himself. And by the way, the more interesting the company, the more dangerous the private placement offering.&#8221;</p>
<p>Other investor traps to watch out for:</p>
<ul>
<li>&#8220;Oil and gas limited partnerships. (If you&#8217;re being cut in on them, the wells are dry.)</li>
<li>Principal protection funds. (They always come out after the market&#8217;s been killed and cap your upside on the recovery.)</li>
<li>Insurance brokers selling asset management. (Does your hairdresser also repair the roof on your house?)</li>
<li>Stockbrokers selling guaranteed-return equity-linked annuities. (Yeah, that&#8217;ll end well.)</li>
<li>Reverse convertibles and other structured products. (They will pit you against both the market and the banker — good luck!)</li>
<li>Brokers with one day left in their pay period. (They will call you with the news that “we need to rotate and move some things around.”)</li>
<li>Brokers with thick New York accents and Boca Raton area codes.</li>
<li>Anyone who claims to have a “system.” (Why? Because there is no such thing, and if there were, you would be the last person to hear of it.)</li>
<li>Anyone who calls himself a “financier.” (He&#8217;s guaranteed to be full of sh*t and probably wears dress shoes with no socks.)</li>
<li>Financial advisors who self-clear or self-custody client funds. (Always be sure there is another pair of eyes on your money, preferably a large corporation&#8217;s.)</li>
<li>Currency brokers and forex sites. (Nobody knows anything; this is all highly leveraged speculation, and the brokers are actually trading against you when you take a position.)</li>
<li>Managed futures funds. (The fees are so over the top that your actual return will look nothing like the advertised return.)</li>
<li>Movie investments. (The latest telemarketing scam; no studio worth investing in is going to unleash an army of cold callers to raise funds.)</li>
<li>Closed-end fund IPOs. (These funds should only be bought at a discount in the secondary market. Within 90 days of the IPO, the “penalty bid” phase ends and brokers can freely dump shares while keeping their commissions — you will be down 15 percent in a blink.)&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<p>Full Story: <a target="_new">Staying Out of the Murder Holes (Joshua Brown / RegisteredRep)</a></p>
<p><strong>And let&#8217;s not forget to mention double and triple ETNs (Exchange-Traded-Notes) that will <em>evaporate</em> your portfolio faster than you can say &#8220;<em>WTF</em>&#8220;?!&#8230; </strong></p>
<p>Full Story: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/12/03/2444289/update-collateral-damage-tvixs-fall-could-have-broader-implic" target="_new">Collateral Damage: TVIX&#8217;s Fall Could Have Broader Implications (TVIX, VXX)</a></p>
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		<title>$GRPN Groupon IPO up 50% what a steal!  Of foolish investor capital, that is&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2011-11-04-grpn-groupon-ipo-up-50-what-a-steal-of-foolish-investor-capital-that-is/</link>
		<comments>http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2011-11-04-grpn-groupon-ipo-up-50-what-a-steal-of-foolish-investor-capital-that-is/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Nov 2011 15:44:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alexander P Morris]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[moMoney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PassMeThePork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vlogolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$GRPN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[float]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[groupon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[initial public offerings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPOs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[merchants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/?p=1534</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(TheMarketTicker) &#8220;Like paper coupons a Groupon has a &#8216;use by&#8217; date. They&#8217;re attempting to leverage social media to &#8216;widely distribute&#8217; the Groupons to consumers, and for this they get a piece of the action. The merchant effectively pays a &#8216;vig&#8217; to Groupon for running the distribution system and collecting the money; once a Groupon is [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2011-11-04-grpn-groupon-ipo-up-50-what-a-steal-of-foolish-investor-capital-that-is/" target="_new" title="View Full Post and Related Links!"><img src="http://www.vlogolution.com/vthumbs/thumb-oink-2.png" title="View Full Post and Related Links!" align="left" width="100" height="60" border=0><img src="http://www.vlogolution.com/images/spacer.gif" align="left" width="10" height="60" border=0></a><p>(TheMarketTicker) &#8220;Like paper coupons a Groupon has a &#8216;use by&#8217; date.  They&#8217;re attempting to leverage social media to &#8216;widely distribute&#8217; the Groupons to consumers, and for this they get a piece of the action.  The merchant effectively pays a &#8216;vig&#8217; to Groupon for running the distribution system and collecting the money; once a Groupon is redeemed the merchant gets the paid price less a discount.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;You, the merchant, are selling a &#8220;regular&#8221; $40 product or service for $20.  But in fact it&#8217;s not $20; Groupon takes a piece of the &#8216;sale price&#8217; of $20 as well, so you might receive $18.  And you receive it late: The consumer buys the Groupon from Groupon.  This goes to Groupon&#8217;s balance sheet as &#8216;cash&#8217; and the payment to the merchant is an accrued liability.  <strong>The merchant gets paid only when the groupons are redeemed</strong>.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;<strong>Essentially Groupon &#8216;lives&#8217; on the float.</strong> .. the firm is surviving on two things, neither of which is likely to continue: 1. <strong>Non-redemption</strong> &#8211; the consumer buys and then doesn&#8217;t use.  2. <strong>Delays in payment</strong> &#8211; Groupon &#8216;aggregates&#8217; these coupons and pays merchants when the aggregation reaches a given level.  They have the use of the money in the meantime.  That&#8217;s <strong>nice for them, not so nice for the merchant <em>who just delivered a good or service they didn&#8217;t get paid for in the present tense!</em></strong>&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t like this one bit as a prospective merchant &#8211; especially the second.  .. As a consumer I&#8217;ll buy a $20 pizza for $10 (one of the deals being offered right now in my area.)  But the entire reason I&#8217;ll go to that pizza place is that the pizza is $10 &#8212; at $20 I&#8217;m not a customer!  <strong>In this particular case the merchant gets nothing for their trouble except a guaranteed loss and delayed payment!  It&#8217;s not a &#8216;loss leader&#8217; as I won&#8217;t come back without the discount, it&#8217;s a loss maker.</strong>&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t see the business case for this company as I don&#8217;t see the sell-through on a consistent, forward basis.  Consumers will always take something for free: The store willing to give away steak will give away every piece of it they have!  <strong>That&#8217;s not the question: Will the people then come back and pay full price for the second slab of meat?</strong>&#8221;</p>
<p>Full Story: <a href="http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?singlepost=2769945" target="_new">Groupon: Another Pets.Com (TheMarketTicker)</a></p>
<p>Groupon isn&#8217;t even profitable, though losses &#8220;appear&#8221; to be narrowing. It posted a net loss of $10.6 million in the third quarter, compared with a net loss of $101.2 million in the second quarter.  And for the short period of time the stock was trading north of $30/share, the company was being valued above $19 BILLION.  Even if they earned $100 Million next year, that would be about equivalent to receiving 1/2% annual interest that you can&#8217;t collect for all the risk incurred.  And people wonder why they lose money investing&#8230;  Well, it should at least make for some &#8220;fun&#8221; bubbley chatter at the next cocktail party.</p>
<p>Anyway, back to watching investors play hot potato with <strong>$GRPN</strong>.</p>
<p>First day of trading UPDATE:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.vlogolution.com/images/grpn-20111104-ipo-first-day-trading.gif" target="_new"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.vlogolution.com/images/grpn-20111104-ipo-first-day-trading.gif" alt="" width="500" /></a></p>
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		<title>Why does Wall Street pump out Crappy IPOs? Cuz you want it!</title>
		<link>http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2011-10-23-why-does-wall-street-pump-out-crappy-ipos-cuz-you-want-it/</link>
		<comments>http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2011-10-23-why-does-wall-street-pump-out-crappy-ipos-cuz-you-want-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Oct 2011 03:31:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alexander P Morris]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[moMoney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PassMeThePork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vlogolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$GRPN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[groupon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[human psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[initial public offering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPOs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[television]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wall street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/?p=1236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(Interloper) &#8220;There is no conspiracy as to the selection of IPOs and secondary offerings beyond popularity. They are giving you what you want, what they can sell, and in a number of instances its crap, either in terms of objective business quality or the valuation levels stipulated at issue.&#8221; &#8220;It is an axiom among professionals [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.vlogolution.com/hot/2011-10-23-why-does-wall-street-pump-out-crappy-ipos-cuz-you-want-it/" target="_new" title="View Full Post and Related Links!"><img src="http://www.vlogolution.com/vthumbs/thumb-insight.png" title="View Full Post and Related Links!" align="left" width="100" height="60" border=0><img src="http://www.vlogolution.com/images/spacer.gif" align="left" width="10" height="60" border=0></a><p>(Interloper) &#8220;There is no conspiracy as to the selection of IPOs and secondary offerings beyond popularity. They are giving you what you want, what they can sell, and in a number of instances its crap, either in terms of objective business quality or the valuation levels stipulated at issue.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It is an axiom among professionals marketing investment ideas to long-only funds or individual investors (for all their faults, hedge fund managers are much better at this) that you know you have a great investment idea when it is completely unmarketable. Publish as many copies as you want, but stock ideas in out of favor sectors will sit and gather dust until the paper rots. <strong>What sells, both in term of ideas and new stock, are those in sectors that have been gapping higher for the longest time, despite the risk that said trend is nearly exhausted and valuation levels are approaching the ridiculous.</strong>&#8221;</p>
<p><em>“When you’re young, you look at television and think, There’s a conspiracy! The networks have conspired to dumb us down. But when you get a little older, you realize that’s not true. The networks are in business to give people exactly what they want. That’s a far more depressing thought. Conspiracy is optimistic! You can shoot the bastards! We can have a revolution! But the networks are really in business to give people what they want.&#8221; &#8212; </em>Steve Jobs (<a href="http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/4.02/jobs_pr.html" target="_blank">1996 Wired Magazine Article, Steve Jobs: The Next Insanely Great Thing</a>)</p>
<p>&#8220;Referring back to Jobs’ quote, the fault is not in the networks or the investment banker, it&#8217;s with the audience.  If PBS started getting monster ratings for in-depth, intelligent documentaries, the other networks will quickly follow suit.  <strong>In exactly the same way, if investors stopped buying secondary offerings in hot sectors, which they freaking know is a bad idea but can’t help themselves, and entertained the better risk/reward potential of out of favor ideas, they would get more of them.</strong>&#8221;</p>
<p>Full Story: <a title="Permalink to zero hedge, steve jobs and who’s really responsible for the despicable cesspool of new stock issuance" href="http://interloping.com/2011/10/22/zero-hedge-steve-jobs-and-whos-really-responsible-for-the-despicable-cesspool-of-new-stock-issuance/" target="_new">Zero Hedge, Steve Jobs and who&#8217;s really responsible for the despicable cesspool of new stock issuance (Interloper)</a></p>
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